Week 3 Complete · Apr 13–19

The Week Closers Lost Leads and Depth Won the Day.

PLAYEROS led for six straight days and lost by 23. F/S clawed back from -73.6 and fell short. One bad pitching start changed three matchups. And four teams are now 3-0.

Current Week
Week 4
League Leaders
4 Teams at 3-0
Wk 3 High Score
406.7 pts
Week 3 High Day
100.9 · Rebels

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Episode 3 · Week 3 Recap · Latest
The Week Closers Lost Leads
Powered by NotebookLM · 2026 Season
Full Episode + Notes →

Week 3 Results

⭐ MOTW
SAJOMA
344.5
Father & Son
326.9
🚨 Heartbreak
NY dRuNkies
378.6
Los Playeros
355.0
🔥 Highest
. Rebels
406.7
T-Ball Titans
260.2
Weekend W
Los Lobos
280.5
TakeOver .
199.5
Blowout
Villa Olga Possee
371.1
The Dynasty
238.5
Depth W
REM GEM
392.0
No Common Sense
305.4
Matchup 3 · Apr 13–19 · Latest
The Week Closers Lost Leads & Depth Won the Day
Deep box score breakdown. PLAYEROS blew a 73.6-pt lead. F/S nearly completed a historic comeback. Rebels drop 406.7 in a statement blowout.
. Rebels (High)
406.7
TakeOver (Low)
199.5
Matchup 2 · Apr 6–12
Seven Days of Sweat, Chokes & Sunday Miracles
TakeOver. collapses with a 6.1-pt Sunday. SAJOMA drops 111.7 in one day. REM GEM goes beast mode again.
VOP (High Score)
385.3
Dynasty (Low Score)
244.2
Matchup 1 · Mar 25 – Apr 5
Season Opens With a Bang
Historic performances, a 291-point blowout, and one team already in crisis mode after just 12 days.
Father & Son
587.7
Los Playeros
296.0
Matchup 4 · Coming Soon
Week 4 Recap
Check back after the matchup concludes for the full breakdown.
#TeamWLPFPAResult
West Division
1
Villa Olga Possee
Ernie Perez
301300.81008.6W
2
Los Lobos
Renzo Lobaton
301109.0920.6W
3
SAJOMA
Richard Azcona
211104.71075.1W
4
TakeOver .
Kenny Martinez
121026.11105.0L
5
The Dynasty
Degny Lugo
03968.51198.9L
6
T-Ball Titans
Chris Azcona
03940.61307.0L
East Division
1
NY dRuNkies
Dary Espinal
301240.71094.6W
2
REM GEM
Danny Martinez
301202.3934.8W
3
Father & Son
C. & R. Martinez
121168.41188.8L
4
. Rebels
Carlos Puntiel
121050.5976.8W
5
No Common Sense
Roberto Zapata
121019.71162.7L
6
Los Playeros
Jeffrey Espinal
03917.11308.7L
⚡ The Elite — 3-0 & Running Away
1
Villa Olga Possee
Ernie Perez
▲ 1 from Week 2 · New #1
Dismantled The Dynasty 371.1–238.5 behind a surreal 83.2 combined Ohtani performance (49.6 batting + 33.6 pitching). One roster spot, two top-five fantasy days. Corey Seager (25.0), Matt Olson (23.5), and Brice Turang (23.0) round out a second tier most teams would kill to start. Ryan Weathers posting 33.4 pitching points off the waiver wire is free money. 3-0 and the clear favorite right now.
3–0
1300.8 PF
▲ 1
2
REM GEM
Danny Martinez
▲ 1 from Week 2 · Making The Case
Three straight wins and a distribution profile the rest of the league can't match — 13 hitters cleared 9.5 points in Week 3. Gavin Williams (51.2) was the best single pitching performance of the week outside the Rebels. Raisel Iglesias (27.3) is elite closer value. Arozarena, Harris, Burleson, and Cruz all chipped in 23.5+. This team doesn't win on superstars — it wins because every roster spot is productive. REM GEM might be the best team in the league.
3–0
1202.3 PF
▲ 1
3
NY dRuNkies
Dary Espinal
▼ 2 from Week 2 · Still Undefeated
Don't read the drop as a knock — 3-0 is 3-0, and the heartbreak win over PLAYEROS was arguably the most impressive performance of the week. Erased a 67.5-point Day 1 deficit with a 64.8-point Sunday finale. Riley O'Brien's 44.4 was the top SP performance of the week. Ben Rice (37.5), Austin Riley (36.0), CJ Abrams (34.0), and Kyle Tucker (29.0) give them four legit threats. Nine hitters over 10. The East leader is for real.
3–0
1240.7 PF
▼ 2
4
Los Lobos
Renzo Lobaton
● Same as Week 2 · Quiet Killers
Trailed TakeOver. through three days and closed with a 207.4-point weekend burst (Apr 16–18) that buried them. That's the Lobos blueprint — unflashy floor, weekend dominance. Landen Roupp's 29.6 off the wire was the sneaky MVP of the staff. David Bednar (24.2) is saves-plus-Ks gold. No gaudy totals, just three wins. Skubal is still the engine. A true power bat makes championship tier real.
3–0
1109.0 PF
● Same
👀 The Contenders — Playing Above Their Record
5
. Rebels
Carlos Puntiel
▲ 6 — Biggest Riser
406.7 points is the highest single-week total in the league, and the 100.9-point day on Apr 17 is the highest single day. Aaron Judge (43.0), Framber Valdez (43.3), Junior Caminero (36.0), Jo Adell (32.5), Iván Herrera (29.5). Seven hitters over 20. Tyler Glasnow (32.7) and Abner Uribe (32.7) formed a devastating SP2/reliever combo. The 1-2 record hides a top-3 roster. Week 3 was the announcement — ignore at your peril.
1–2
1050.5 PF
▲ 6
6
SAJOMA
Richard Azcona
● Same as Week 2
Survived a seven-day dogfight with F/S, winning 344.5–326.9 when Crochet's -25.5 outing sank F/S's heroic comeback. Paul Skenes (42.0), Mason Miller (38.4), Cody Bellinger (38.0), Shota Imanaga (33.6). Eight bats over 15 points. Ketel Marte (24.0) and Eugenio Suárez (22.0) round out a top three that plays up to the billing. Aaron Nola (3.5) and Pete Fairbanks (-10.9) were the blemishes — but they won. At 2-1, SAJOMA is exactly where they expected to be.
2–1
1104.7 PF
● Same
7
Father & Son
Christian & Ramon Martinez
▼ 2 from Week 2 · Still Dangerous
1-2 is not what this roster should be. F/S came back from -73.6 after Day 1 — took the lead Friday — and still lost by 17.6. That's variance, not a broken team. Sal Stewart (29.0), Corbin Carroll (23.0), Pasquantino (22.0), Gausman (26.1), Elder (22.9), Jansen (22.3). This is a deep, talented roster. Garrett Crochet's -25.5 single-handedly cost them the matchup — if he posts even zero, F/S wins. Top-4 team masquerading as a bottom feeder.
1–2
1168.4 PF
▼ 2
8
Los Playeros
Jeffrey Espinal
▲ 4 from Week 2 · Most Painful 0-3
Hear me out. PLAYEROS led the dRuNkies for six straight days and lost by 23.6. José Ramírez (54.5) was the best individual performance of the week. Pete Alonso (23.5), Ian Happ (22.0), Swanson (17.5), Wilson (17.5) gave them real top-six production. This is a top-half roster stuck at 0-3 because of schedule-dependent streamers bunching their worst days on Saturday-Sunday. Fixable. Most talented 0-3 team in the league, and they're climbing.
0–3
917.1 PF
▲ 4
⚖️ Treading Water — Need Week 4 Statements
9
No Common Sense
Roberto Zapata
▼ 2 from Week 2
Chris Sale (29.7) and Randy Arozarena (25.5) are still reliable. The issue was depth — Chandler Simpson, Willson Contreras, Jacob Young, Maikel Garcia, and TJ Rumfield combined for just 23.5 points across five roster spots. Replacement-level production from a third of the lineup kills any chance against REM GEM's distribution. Sonny Gray's -12.6 was the backbreaker — another "one bad start" matchup. NCS is closer to 2-1 than 1-2 on talent.
1–2
1019.7 PF
▼ 2
10
TakeOver .
Kenny Martinez
▼ 2 from Week 2 · Roster Crisis
Week 2's 6.1-point Sunday wasn't an anomaly — it was a preview. This week: Romano at -22.2, Hoffman at -15.5, Keller at -9.6, Alcántara at -7.5. Four pitchers went deeply negative. The bottom four hitters (House, García, Burger, Caissie) combined for -14 points. That's a systemic roster failure — four active bats going negative is an anchor no top-end can drag. Kirby and Sánchez can't carry this alone. Aggressive waiver moves required or this season slips away.
1–2
1026.1 PF
▼ 2
🚨 Danger Zone — 0-3 and Running Out of Time
11
The Dynasty
Degny Lugo
▼ 2 from Week 2 · Structural Problems
0-3 and the blowout loss to VOP exposed the core issue. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. produced only 19.5 points for the entire week — a top-15 pick generating sixth-outfielder numbers. Eight hitters under seven points. Luzardo's -10.8 single-start disaster canceled out a whole secondary bat. The Dynasty has Yamamoto, Freeman, Buxton, and little else firing. This isn't bad luck anymore — it's a roster that needs restructuring before Week 5.
0–3
968.5 PF
▼ 2
12
T-Ball Titans
Chris Azcona
▼ 2 from Week 2 · Preseason #1 Now Last
The offseason darling who was supposed to run away with the league sits dead last. Three straight blowouts, including a 146-point loss to the Rebels. Ozzie Albies (25.0) and Kurtz (20.0) were fine — Elly De La Cruz at 13.0 is half of what he should be producing. Nine hitters under 11 points. MacKenzie Gore (-4.7) and Eury Pérez (-0.6) compound the mess. The depth that graded the Titans A+ on draft day is now playing like replacement level. Something has to change.
0–3
940.6 PF
▼ 2
Villa Olga Possee
Ernie Perez
Record
3–0
Power Rank
#1
Division
West
PF Total
1300.8
🔥 League-High PF · Ohtani 83.2
REM GEM
Danny Martinez
Record
3–0
Power Rank
#2
Division
East
PF Total
1202.3
🔥 13 Bats Over 9.5 pts
NY dRuNkies
Dary Espinal
Record
3–0
Power Rank
#3
Division
East
PF Total
1240.7
🔥 East Leader · Heartbreak Win
Los Lobos
Renzo Lobaton
Record
3–0
Power Rank
#4
Division
West
PF Total
1109.0
🔥 207-pt Weekend Burst
. Rebels
Carlos Puntiel
Record
1–2
Power Rank
#5
Division
East
PF Total
1050.5
🔥 Biggest Riser · 406.7 pt Week
SAJOMA
Richard Azcona
Record
2–1
Power Rank
#6
Division
West
PF Total
1104.7
👀 MOTW Winner vs F/S
Father & Son
C. & R. Martinez
Record
1–2
Power Rank
#7
Division
East
PF Total
1168.4
👀 Almost Completed -73 Comeback
Los Playeros
Jeffrey Espinal
Record
0–3
Power Rank
#8
Division
East
PF Total
917.1
👀 Led 6 Days · Lost by 23
No Common Sense
Roberto Zapata
Record
1–2
Power Rank
#9
Division
East
PF Total
1019.7
⚖️ Depth Issues Exposed
TakeOver .
Kenny Martinez
Record
1–2
Power Rank
#10
Division
West
PF Total
1026.1
⚠️ Romano -22.2 · Roster Crisis
The Dynasty
Degny Lugo
Record
0–3
Power Rank
#11
Division
West
PF Total
968.5
🚨 Vlad Jr. 19.5 in 7 Days
T-Ball Titans
Chris Azcona
Record
0–3
Power Rank
#12
Division
West
PF Total
940.6
🚨 Preseason #1 · Now Last
Episode 3 · Latest
🎙️
Episode 3 · Week 3 Recap
The Week Closers Lost Leads
Our AI analysts break down the most dramatic week of the young season — PLAYEROS blowing a 73.6-point lead, F/S's heroic comeback falling short, and the "one bad pitcher" problem that decided four matchups.
Episode Highlights
HEART
PLAYEROS lead for 6 of 7 days, score 4.4 on Saturday, lose by 23.6.
MOTW
F/S erases a 73.6-pt hole, takes the lead Friday. Crochet's -25.5 changes everything.
FIRE
Rebels drop 406.7 pts — highest score in the league. 7 hitters over 20 points.
MVP
Ohtani posts 83.2 combined points. VOP's unfair advantage strikes again.
Previous Episodes
🎙️
Episode 2 · Week 2
Seven Days of Sweat, Chokes & Sunday Miracles
🎙️
Episode 1 · Week 1
How High Floors Won Matchup One
🎙️
Episode 4 — Coming Soon
Week 4 breakdown drops after the matchup concludes.
Editor's Note
Two games need the long treatment this week: the dRuNkies' stunning weekend comeback to break PLAYEROS' heart, and the wire-to-wire dogfight between FATHER/SON and SAJOMA that wasn't decided until the final innings. Pull up a chair.
⭐ Matchup of the Week
SAJOMA
344.5
Father & Son
326.9
Top Performers
Paul Skenes42.0
Cody Bellinger38.0
Mason Miller38.4
F/S erased a 73.6-pt Day 1 hole and took the lead Friday. Crochet's -25.5 was the difference.
🚨 Heartbreaker
NY dRuNkies
378.6
Los Playeros
355.0
Top Performers
José Ramírez54.5
Riley O'Brien44.4
Ben Rice37.5
Playeros led by 67.5 after Day 1. dRuNkies won by 23.6. A 91-point swing.
🔥 Highest Score
. Rebels
406.7
T-Ball Titans
260.2
Top Performers
Aaron Judge43.0
Framber Valdez43.3
Junior Caminero36.0
Rebels drop 100.9 on Apr 17 — highest single day in the league. 7 hitters over 20 pts.
Weekend Surge
Los Lobos
280.5
TakeOver .
199.5
Top Performers
Landen Roupp29.6
David Bednar24.2
Otto Lopez22.5
Lobos dropped 207.4 pts across Apr 16-18. TakeOver's Romano: -22.2 pts.
West Division
Villa Olga Possee
371.1
The Dynasty
238.5
Top Performers
Shohei Ohtani83.2
Ryan Weathers33.4
Corey Seager25.0
Ohtani: 49.6 batting + 33.6 pitching. The MVP cheat code. Dynasty 0-3.
Depth Wins
REM GEM
392.0
No Common Sense
305.4
Top Performers
Gavin Williams51.2
Chris Sale29.7
Randy Arozarena25.5
13 REM GEM hitters over 9.5 pts. Sonny Gray's -12.6 broke NCS's week.
🚨 Heartbreak of the Week
NY dRuNkies
378.6
3–0 · Dary Espinal
def.
Los Playeros
355.0
0–3 · Jeffrey Espinal
Playeros Day 1
102.2
67.5 pt lead after Mon
Playeros Saturday
4.4
The collapse
Sunday Swing
35.2
dRuNkies take lead
Ramírez Wk
54.5
Best ind. performance
Daily Scoring — The Full Collapse
Date dRuNkies Playeros Margin
Apr 13 · Mon34.7102.2PLAYEROS +67.5
Apr 14 · Tue72.862.3PLAYEROS +57.0
Apr 15 · Wed59.257.2PLAYEROS +55.0
Apr 16 · Thu51.445.8PLAYEROS +49.4
Apr 17 · Fri61.453.5PLAYEROS +41.5
Apr 18 · Sat34.34.4PLAYEROS +11.6
Apr 19 · Sun64.829.6dRuNkies +23.6

Read that again. PLAYEROS led by 67.5 points after Day 1 and never trailed until the very last day of the matchup. The dRuNkies chipped away slowly Tuesday through Friday, gaining roughly 10 points per day, but the margin was still 41.5 going into Saturday.

Then the wheels fell off for PLAYEROS. On April 18, they scored 4.4 points total. That's the kind of number you see when a lineup has three starters on off-days and your one pitcher gets shelled. When your floor becomes 4 points and the opponent puts up 34, a 41.5-point lead becomes 11.6 almost overnight. Sunday sealed it — the dRuNkies got a 64.8-point finale while PLAYEROS managed only 29.6, flipping the matchup by 23.6 total. PLAYEROS lost this matchup after leading for six of seven days.

The PLAYEROS lineup tells the rest of the story. José Ramírez's 54.5 is the best individual performance of the week. Pete Alonso (23.5), Ian Happ (22.0), Dansby Swanson (17.5), and rookie Jacob Wilson (17.5) gave them real top-six production. But after Steven Kwan (13.5) and Gleyber Torres (13.5), things thinned out fast — the bottom of the roster evaporated on the weekend. The pitching staff had only two arms produce real value; Andrew Abbott (1.8) and Shane Baz (0.6) combined for 2.4 points as presumed starters.

The dRuNkies were death by a thousand cuts. Ben Rice (37.5), Austin Riley (36.0), CJ Abrams (34.0), and Kyle Tucker (29.0) all cleared 29 — four different players, four positions of production. Then the middle of the roster kept delivering. Nine hitters above 10 points. On the mound, Riley O'Brien's 44.4 was the top starter performance in the league this week, Bryan Woo's 35.4 was almost as good, and Ranger Suárez (23.8) and Walker Buehler (20.5) gave them a fourth and fifth arm most teams would kill for.

🚨 The Verdict
PLAYEROS didn't lose because their roster is bad. They lost because their schedule-dependent streamers bunched their worst performances on the final weekend, while the dRuNkies' depth showed up in waves. This is the most painful 0-3 start in the league — and the most fixable.
⭐ Matchup of the Week
SAJOMA
344.5
2–1 · Richard Azcona
def.
Father & Son
326.9
1–2 · C. & R. Martinez
F/S Day 1
-4.5
Down 73.6 after Mon
F/S Wed Surge
86.5
Comeback begins
SAJOMA Sat
74.6
Sealed the deal
Crochet Damage
-25.5
The margin right there
Daily Scoring — Lead Changes Every Day
Date F/S SAJOMA Margin
Apr 13 · Mon-4.569.1SAJOMA +73.6
Apr 14 · Tue67.648.3SAJOMA +54.3
Apr 15 · Wed86.562.1SAJOMA +29.9
Apr 16 · Thu59.834.2SAJOMA +4.3
Apr 17 · Fri41.733.5F/S +3.9
Apr 18 · Sat47.274.6SAJOMA +23.5
Apr 19 · Sun28.622.7SAJOMA +17.6

F/S actually opened the matchup with negative points on Apr 13 — whether a bad Garrett Crochet start or another poor outing, this was a crushing start. Down 73.6 after Day 1, F/S mounted an absolutely heroic comeback. They posted 86.5 points on Apr 15, the biggest single day of their week. By Thursday the margin was down to 4.3. By Friday, F/S had taken the lead, up 3.9 after a week of climbing out of a 73.6-point hole.

Then Saturday's SAJOMA explosion — 74.6 points — swung the matchup back. F/S couldn't answer with enough on Saturday (47.2) or Sunday (28.6), and SAJOMA held on. This was a seven-day grinder that came down to who blinked last.

The F/S lineup was loaded with positive contributors. Sal Stewart delivered 29.0 as a breakout bat, Corbin Carroll bounced back with 23.0, Vinnie Pasquantino produced 22.0. Kevin Gausman was steady at 26.1, Bryce Elder posted 22.9, Kenley Jansen gave them 22.3 from the closer role. That's a legitimately deep staff. But Garrett Crochet at -25.5 points — that is a catastrophic outing that single-handedly erased everything Messick and Gausman produced. If Crochet posts even zero, F/S wins this matchup.

SAJOMA's blueprint was dominance at the top and stability in the middle. Cody Bellinger (38.0), Ketel Marte (24.0), and Eugenio Suárez (22.0) gave them a monster top three. Eight bats above 15 points. Behind Skenes (42.0) and Miller (38.4), Shota Imanaga was spectacular at 33.6. The only blemishes were Aaron Nola at 3.5 and Pete Fairbanks at -10.9.

📊 The Verdict
This matchup was decided by which team's one bad performance was worse. Crochet's -25.5 was more damaging than Fairbanks' -10.9. In a 17.6-point loss, that 14.6-point gap between the two landmines is the margin. Outside of those two outings, F/S matched SAJOMA nearly point-for-point.
vs
Weekend Surge
Los Lobos Drop 207 Points in a 3-Day Weekend Burst to Bury TakeOver.
Lobos / TakeOver
280.5 – 199.5

Los Lobos opened the week looking like a team that simply would not get blown away. Their daily scoring — 16.9, 19.1, 15.4 — was actually trailing TakeOver's 58.7 opening on Apr 13 by a wide margin through three days. Then the weekend happened. Lobos dropped a 73.6 on Apr 16, a 60.7 on Apr 17, and another 73.1 on Apr 18. That's 207.4 points in a three-day weekend burst — more than TakeOver's entire week.

Beyond Skubal and Woodruff, Lobos had production everywhere. Otto Lopez (22.5) and Yandy Díaz (18.5) gave middle-of-the-order stability. On the pitching side, Landen Roupp's 29.6 was the sneaky MVP of the staff — a waiver-wire-caliber arm producing ace numbers. David Bednar's 24.2 from the closer role is saves-plus-Ks gold.

TakeOver's bottom four hitters (House -1.5, García -3.0, Burger -4.0, Caissie -5.5) combined for -14 points. Four active bats going negative is an anchor no top-end can drag. Beyond Kirby and Sánchez, Max Fried (-1.8), Sandy Alcántara (-7.5), Mitch Keller (-9.6), Jeff Hoffman (-15.5), and Jordan Romano (-22.2) were a disaster. Romano's line alone cost TakeOver a full starting pitcher's worth of production.

📊 Analysis
Lobos didn't win because of a single big day. They won because Roupp, Bednar, and their middle-infield depth quietly built a lead while TakeOver's back half bled out. TakeOver is now 1-2 and staring at a roster management crisis.
vs
West Division Dominance
Villa Olga Possee Cruises as Ohtani Posts 83 Combined Points
VOP / Dynasty
371.1 – 238.5

VOP won this matchup on Apr 15 with an 82.2-point day and never looked back. The Dynasty had exactly one big day (Apr 14, 65.2) and five forgettable ones.

Below the headliners, the Dynasty roster shows its age. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. only produced 19.5 across a full week — that's not what you draft a top-15 pick for. Eight hitters under seven points and a couple of those names are supposed to be core pieces. Jesús Luzardo at -10.8 is a single-start disaster that effectively canceled out a whole secondary bat's production.

VOP, meanwhile, had Trout and Ohtani, and people forget that Ohtani pitches too. Shohei's 33.6 pitching points on top of his 49.6 batting points gave VOP effectively two top-5 performers from a single roster spot. That's the MVP cheat code in action. Corey Seager's 25.0, Matt Olson's 23.5, and Brice Turang's 23.0 gave them a deep second tier. Ryan Weathers posting 33.4 pitching points as a borderline streaming option is the kind of free money that separates great rosters from good ones.

📊 Analysis
VOP won this because they had three top-25 fantasy performers (Trout, Ohtani batting, Ohtani pitching) plus middle-class contributions. The Dynasty had Freeman, Buxton, and almost nothing else. At 0-3, Lugo needs to make moves — fast.
vs
Highest Score in the League
Rebels Drop 406.7 Points — The Announcement Game
Rebels / Titans
406.7 – 260.2

This wasn't close at any point. The matchup was essentially even through Thursday, with TRS leading by about 47 points. Then Apr 17 happened: the Rebels dropped a 100.9-point day — the highest single-day total in the entire league this week.

The Rebels' roster is terrifying in its depth. Beyond Judge (43.0), Caminero (36.0), and Valdez (43.3), we've got Jo Adell at 32.5 — a breakout season finally paying off. Iván Herrera's 29.5 is elite catcher production. James Wood (23.5) is a star in the making. That's seven hitters over 20 points — an almost unheard-of weekly distribution. Tyler Glasnow (32.7) and Abner Uribe (32.7) formed a devastating SP2/reliever combo behind Valdez. When you're getting 32+ from the SP2 and SP3 slots, the opposing team basically needs a miracle.

The Titans had a reasonable top of the lineup — Ozzie Albies' 25.0, Konnor Griffin's 21.5 (huge from a rookie), Nick Kurtz's 20.0. But Elly De La Cruz at 13.0 is half of what he should be producing. Nine hitters under 11 points. MacKenzie Gore's -4.7 and Eury Pérez's -0.6 were the kind of starts that sink weeks.

📊 Analysis
The Rebels are scary deep. The Titans have talent but are getting replacement-level production from their stars. 406.7 points in a single week is the highest total — and a 1-2 record hides a roster that's playing like a top-three team. Week 3 was the announcement.
vs
Depth Wins
REM GEM's Distribution Is Absurd — 13 Hitters Contribute in a 392-Point Week
REM GEM / NCS
392.0 – 305.4

REM GEM ran away with this one behind a balanced offensive effort and a Gavin Williams 51.2-point masterpiece on the mound. The matchup was actually competitive through Apr 15 before REM GEM opened it up with a 99.3-point Friday — the second-biggest single day of the week.

REM GEM's distribution is absurd. Sixteen batters produced, and thirteen of them had 9.5+ points. Randy Arozarena (25.5), Michael Harris II (25.0), Alec Burleson (23.5), Oneil Cruz (23.5) all contributed meaningfully. Gavin Williams' 51.2 was an ace performance, Raisel Iglesias' 27.3 was elite closer production, José Soriano (24.9) and Cam Schlittler (19.6) were streaming gold.

NCS had a legitimately good top of the lineup, but the drop-off was painful: Chandler Simpson (7.0), Willson Contreras (6.0), Jacob Young (5.0), Maikel Garcia (3.0), and TJ Rumfield (2.5) combined for 23.5 points across five roster spots. Replacement-level production from a third of the lineup. Sonny Gray at -12.6 was a back-breaker — another "one bad start" that swung 20+ points of margin.

📊 Analysis
NCS is a top-four talented roster in the league. REM GEM is playing like the best team in the league. The difference is distribution — REM GEM is getting production from 14+ spots; NCS from 8-10.
The "one bad player" problem is real. Four separate matchups this week featured a single player posting a deeply negative performance that decided or nearly decided the matchup.
— Romano (-22.2), Crochet (-25.5), Luzardo (-10.8), Gray (-12.6)

Looking at the full player-level data, a few patterns emerge:

Depth wins, not stars. The three undefeated teams with the clearest identities (dRuNkies, VOP, REM GEM) all won this week with 8+ meaningful contributors. The 0-3 teams all had top-three production that would've won most matchups in most leagues, but got sunk by their back halves.

PLAYEROS and F/S are the unlucky ones. PLAYEROS outscored three opponents in league averages this week (355 points would've beaten four other teams) and lost. F/S came back from a 73.6-point deficit and lost by 17.6. Both rosters are going to win a lot of games — variance just hasn't swung their way yet.

The Rebels are the team to watch. 406.7 points in a single week is the highest total, and a 1-2 record hides a roster that's playing like a top-three team. They had a historically bad start, but Week 3 was the announcement.

"Week 4 starts today. Buckle up, and may your closers hold the lead."
League of Champions · See you on the diamond.
⭐ Matchup of the Week
Father & Son
587.7
Los Playeros
296.0
Top Performers
K. Gausman53.2
Corbin Carroll47.5
Chase DeLauter47.5
F/S dropped 115.2 pts in a single day. Playeros scored zero on Opening Day.
East Division
NY dRuNkies
571.6
The Dynasty
485.8
Top Performers
Ben Rice55.5
Andy Pages49.5
Clay Holmes47.6
dRuNkies closed with 102.9 pts on the final day.
West Division
TakeOver .
566.1
T-Ball Titans
406.0
Top Performers
Sandy Alcantara78.6
Yordan Alvarez73.5
Max Fried61.0
TakeOver exploded for 129.2 pts on Apr 1. Alcantara: 16 IP, 0 ER.
Upset Alert
Villa Olga Possee
544.4
SAJOMA
504.0
Top Performers
Shohei Ohtani60.1
Drake Baldwin59.5
Trevor Rogers50.3
Closest matchup of the week. Ohtani as hitter-pitcher was the difference.
Sneaky Good
Los Lobos
510.1
No Common Sense
432.3
Top Performers
Chris Sale56.2
Yandy Diaz52.0
Tarik Skubal42.3
NCS dug an early hole (0 pts on Mar 25). Mookie Betts on the IL.
Quiet Victory
REM GEM
428.4
. Rebels
355.0
Top Performers
Cam Schlittler63.5
Oneil Cruz45.0
Tyler Glasnow47.2
Rebels went -9.5 pts in their first two days. Judge underperformed at 34 pts.
⭐ Matchup of the Week
Father & Son
587.7
1–0 · Christian & Ramon Martinez
def.
Los Playeros
296.0
0–1 · Jeffrey Espinal
Best Single Day
115.2
F/S · March 26
Gausman Strikeouts
21
2 starts · 12 IP
Margin of Victory
291.7
Largest of Week 1
Playeros Batting
176
Dead last, all 12 teams

The FATHER/SON duo of Christian and Ramon Martinez came out of the gates like a freight train, posting a jaw-dropping 115.2 points on March 26 alone — arguably one of the best single-day totals you'll see all season long. Corbin Carroll and Chase DeLauter (47.5 pts each) looked every bit like the lottery tickets they were drafted as — Carroll with blazing speed and surprising pop, DeLauter with the patient, professional approach that makes Cleveland's front office sleep soundly.

On the mound, Kevin Gausman was simply filthy — 53.2 fantasy points, 21 strikeouts in 12 innings across two starts. Parker Messick and Garrett Crochet gave strong supporting efforts. FATHER/SON's lone soft spot was a brutal Apr 4 day (-1.2 pts), but by then the lead was untouchable.

LOS PLAYEROS never got off the runway. Zero points on Opening Day. Dennis Santana's 45.6-point relief outing was essentially the entire pitching story. Their bats generated just 176 total points — dead last among all 12 teams. Jeffrey Espinal needs to be aggressive on the waiver wire heading into Week 2. This roster needs a complete offensive overhaul, and the clock is already ticking.

vs
East Division
NY dRuNkies Hold Off The Dynasty in a Battle of Daily Swings
dRuNkies / Dynasty
571.6 – 485.8

This one looked like a comfortable win on paper, but the daily breakdowns tell a more complicated story. The Dynasty (Degny Lugo) actually led or kept pace through the first few days, posting a massive 100.6-point day on March 28. Wilyer Abreu was the MVP of The Dynasty's efforts — 52.0 fantasy points, playing like a legitimate middle-of-the-roster weapon all week.

But Dary Espinal's dRuNkies had a different gear entirely. Ben Rice stole the headlines with 55.5 points, Andy Pages added 49.5, and Clay Holmes delivered 47.6 on the mound. The real momentum swing came late — the dRuNkies posted 85.6 on Apr 4 and 102.9 on the final day, turning what felt like a close race into a comfortable 86-point victory. The Dynasty showed flashes, but simply couldn't match the firepower day after day.

vs
West Division
TakeOver's Pitching Duo Dominates as T-Ball Titans Go Negative
TakeOver / Titans
566.1 – 406.0

Kenny Martinez's TakeOver. is going to be a force to be reckoned with in the West Division, and Matchup 1 proved exactly why. The duo of Sandy Alcantara (78.6 pts) and Max Fried (61.0 pts) formed arguably the most dominant pitching one-two punch of the entire opening week. Alcantara was untouchable — zero earned runs across 16 innings, two complete game quality starts, 12 strikeouts. TakeOver.'s biggest single day came April 1, when the roster exploded for 129.2 points. Yordan Alvarez (73.5 pts) did what Yordan does.

The T-Ball Titans went negative on March 27 (-7.5 pts) — a nightmare scenario. Jacob Misiorowski led the pitching staff with 41.1 points and showed genuine upside. They have pieces; they just got run over by a historically hot pitching staff this time around.

vs
Upset Alert
Ohtani Tips the Balance as Villa Olga Possee Edges SAJOMA in a Thriller
VOP / SAJOMA
544.4 – 504.0

The most competitive matchup of the week. SAJOMA (Richard Azcona) had the better individual performer — Drake Baldwin was a revelation, turning in 59.5 fantasy points behind the plate — and the team showed genuine offensive depth. But Ernie Perez's VOP had one weapon that changed everything: Shohei Ohtani. When you own Ohtani and he delivers 60.1 points as both hitter and pitcher, you have a built-in advantage money can't buy.

Trevor Rogers pitched beautifully out of Baltimore's rotation (50.3 pts) and Brice Turang (43.0 pts) provided consistent production. VOP's biggest stretches came late — 73.6 on Mar 31 and 63.7 on Mar 28 — and their daily floor proved decisive. SAJOMA's Chase Burns (44.1) and Mason Miller (42.1) were quality arms, but the high-ceiling days simply weren't there. A 40-point deficit that demands honest self-reflection from Richard Azcona's squad.

vs
Sneaky Good
Los Lobos Survive an Early Hole From No Common Sense to Win Comfortably
Lobos / NCS
510.1 – 432.3

Renzo Lobaton's Los Lobos came in with something to prove and delivered a thorough opening statement. Yandy Diaz paced the offense with 52.0 points, and Tarik Skubal (42.3 pts) looked like the reigning Cy Young winner he is. No Common Sense trended right late — 63.4 on Apr 5 — but the hole dug in the early days (0 pts on Mar 25) was simply too deep to climb.

Chris Sale delivered 56.2 pts confirming he still has premium rotation value. But with Mookie Betts on the IL and a low scoring floor from several key bats, Los Lobos wins by a comfortable 78 points. NCS needs to stay aggressive on the waiver wire — when this roster is healthy, they have real upside.

vs
Quiet Victory
Schlittler Shuts Down the Rebels as REM GEM Wins the Week's Lowest-Scoring Affair
REM GEM / Rebels
428.4 – 355.0

Danny Martinez's REM GEM took care of business in the lowest-scoring matchup of the week. Cam Schlittler was the star — 63.5 fantasy points, zero ERA across 11.2 innings and 15 strikeouts. Oneil Cruz (45.0 pts) swung a scorching bat all week, reminding the league just how electrifying this shortstop/outfielder hybrid can be when locked in.

The . Rebels had moments — Tyler Glasnow (47.2 pts) and Framber Valdez (43.2 pts) form a capable pitching combo — but two negative opening days (-2.5 and -7.0) killed all momentum. Aaron Judge at just 34.0 pts over 12 days is not the production expected from a top draft pick. The Rebels are 0-1 but showed they have pieces — they just need to put them together from the opening bell.

⚡ The Elite Tier
1
1–0
587.7 PF
● New #1
2
1–0
571.6 PF
● New #2
3
1–0
566.1 PF
● New #3
4
1–0
544.4 PF
● New #4
🚨 Teams That Need to Pivot — Fast
10
0–1
406.0 PF
11
0–1
355.0 PF
12
0–1
296.0 PF
"The League of Champions looks deep, competitive, and absolutely loaded with storylines to follow."
Week 1 Complete · See you on the diamond.
Editor's Note
If Week 1 was the opening act, Week 2 was the full production — complete with dramatic plot twists, blown leads, Sunday showdowns, and at least one team that had to have been checking the scoreboard every hour on the final day. The shortened 7-day format magnifies every bad day. The managers who built deep rosters and managed their lineups well down the stretch were rewarded. Those who didn't? Well, that's what this article is for.
🚨 Upset of the Week
No Common Sense
282.0
TakeOver .
260.5
Top Performers
Willson Contreras38.0
Gunnar Henderson40.0
Chris Sale31.0
TakeOver. scored 6.1 points on the final day. NCS closed with 63.9 to steal the win.
East Division
NY dRuNkies
290.5
Father & Son
253.8
Top Performers
Sal Stewart34.5
Jackson Merrill28.0
Ranger Suarez29.6
F/S exploded for 63.6 on Saturday but the dRuNkies had just enough on Sunday.
🔥 Blowout of the Week
REM GEM
381.9
T-Ball Titans
274.4
Top Performers
Cam Schlittler73.5
Bobby Witt Jr.34.5
Oneil Cruz29.5
80.6 pts on Opening Day. Schlittler posts best individual pitching week in the league.
⚡ Game of the Week
SAJOMA
256.2
The Dynasty
244.2
Top Performers
Paul Skenes38.7
Kevin McGonigle32.5
Kris Bubic28.3
SAJOMA scored 111.7 points on Apr 10 alone — the comeback of the season.
West Division
Villa Olga Possee
385.3
Los Playeros
266.1
Top Performers
Jacob deGrom42.1
Jordan Walker42.0
Ian Happ39.0
VOP's Sunday explosion: 124.1 pts — the best team day of the week.
Most Dramatic
Los Lobos
318.4
. Rebels
288.8
Top Performers
James Wood58.0
Yandy Diaz32.0
Tarik Skubal29.8
Lobos exploded for 97.4 on Sunday. Rebels led midweek but went cold at the worst time.
🚨 Choke of the Week
No Common Sense
282.0
1–1 · Roberto Zapata
def.
TakeOver .
260.5
1–1 · Kenny Martinez
TakeOver Sunday
6.1
Final day collapse
NCS Sunday Close
63.9
Sealed the deal
Henderson Total
40.0
TakeOver's top bat
Margin
21.5
NCS wins

This is the matchup that is going to haunt Kenny Martinez for the next seven days. TakeOver., the West Division leader and one of the league's most feared rosters, came into Week 2 riding high off a dominant 566-point opening week. Through the first five days, they looked every bit like the powerhouse they are — Gunnar Henderson leading the charge with 40.0 fantasy points, Yordan Alvarez chipping in with 27.5, and Max Fried turning in another quality outing. TakeOver. built a lead and looked comfortable, posting 43.2, 67.9, and 50.0 on the first three days.

Then the floor fell out. On April 9, TakeOver. posted just 11.5 points. On April 10, they managed only 40.5. And on the final day, Sunday April 12, when the season was on the line, TakeOver. mustered a devastating 6.1 points. Six. One. That's not a typo. Sandy Alcantara generated only 25.9 points after his 78.6-point Week 1 domination, while Mike Burrows came in as a negative contributor. The entire pitching corps finished with just 99.5 total points for the week.

Meanwhile, Roberto Zapata's No Common Sense squad — the team that got blown out in Week 1 — used this matchup as a statement. Steady all week, never explosive but never catastrophic, and when Sunday came around, they delivered a 63.9-point closing day that sealed the deal. Willson Contreras (38.0 pts) carried the NCS offense, followed by Chris Sale continuing his renaissance season (31.0 pts) and Sonny Gray pitching efficiently for 26.3 pts.

🚨 Choke Factor
TakeOver. outscored NCS in 4 of the 7 days, including three of the first four. They blew it entirely on Sunday. That's the definition of a choke — and on the final day of a close matchup, it's inexcusable for a roster of this caliber.
vs
East Division · dRuNkies 2-0
NY dRuNkies Survive a Father & Son Saturday Surge to Go 2-0
dRuNkies / F&S
290.5 – 253.8

Coming off its dominant Week 1 performance, FATHER/SON entered this matchup as arguably the hottest team in the league. NY dRuNkies were facing a true test: could they replicate their Week 1 energy against a team that scored nearly 600 points just days ago? The answer was yes, but it wasn't pretty.

NY dRuNkies came out firing — 54.5 points on Opening Day established an early cushion, followed by a strong 59.3 on April 7. Jackson Merrill (28.0 pts), CJ Abrams (26.5 pts), and Andy Pages (24.0 pts) were the engines of an offense that, while not overwhelming, was consistently productive. On the mound, Ranger Suarez delivered 29.6 fantasy points, and the bullpen trio of Riley O'Brien, Fernando Cruz, and Luke Weaver provided crucial bridge innings.

But FATHER/SON was not going away quietly. Sal Stewart emerged as the offensive hero, piling up 34.5 fantasy points, and Garrett Crochet (26.3 pts) gave them a quality arm. The drama came Saturday, April 11, when FATHER/SON exploded for 63.6 points — their best single day of the week — and suddenly the gap was razor thin. Heading into Sunday, the margin was a knife's edge. F/S scored 36.5. The dRuNkies scored 44.1 — just enough to survive. Dary Espinal goes 2-0 and is emerging as the early favorite in the East. One more 63-point Sunday from F/S and the outcome reverses entirely.

📊 Analysis
FATHER/SON didn't exactly choke — they just ran out of week. Their back-half surge was real and almost enough. The real story is that the dRuNkies were just consistent enough to hold on despite a quiet Sunday. Two very different philosophies — NCS floor vs. F/S ceiling.
vs
Wire-to-Wire Blowout
Schlittler Continues His Dominance as REM GEM Goes Beast Mode in Week 2
REM GEM / Titans
381.9 – 274.4

Last week REM GEM won ugly. This week, Danny Martinez's squad came out looking like a completely different team — posting the second-highest score in the entire league (381.9 points), all the more remarkable given that Week 2's overall scoring was lower across the board.

The matchup opened on April 6 with REM GEM putting up 80.6 points — the single best day by any team in the league this week. They followed that with 65.4 on April 7. By the time T-BALL Titans even had a chance to react, the hole was nearly 60 points deep and growing. Cam Schlittler was once again the pitching superstar — absolutely electric with 73.5 fantasy points, the highest individual pitcher performance of the entire week. In back-to-back matchups, Schlittler has been a shutdown force, and at this rate, he might be the most valuable arm in the league. Bobby Witt Jr. (34.5 pts) and Oneil Cruz (29.5 pts) gave the offense a powerful backbone.

For the T-BALL Titans, this was a gut punch. MacKenzie Gore (27.5 pts) showed promise, but the offensive output of just 170.5 batting points against REM GEM's 218.0 told the story. The Titans did show some fight — posting 40.5 on the final day — but by Sunday, this one had been over for days.

📊 Analysis
No choke factor for REM GEM — they dominated wire to wire. The Titans need to look hard at their roster after two straight blowout losses. The offense (274.4 pts this week) is simply not keeping pace with the rest of the league.
vs
Game of the Week
SAJOMA Drops 111.7 Points in a Single Day to Pull Off the Comeback of the Season
SAJOMA / Dynasty
256.2 – 244.2

Pull up a chair for this one, because what happened on Thursday, April 10, is going to be talked about in this league for a long time. Going into that day, The Dynasty appeared to have a comfortable enough lead — they had been consistent all week, entering April 10 with their cumulative total in control. SAJOMA had been struggling, posting a brutal 7.6 points on April 9 that looked like it might have put a nail in their coffin.

Then Thursday happened. SAJOMA posted 111.7 points on April 10. One hundred and eleven point seven. In a single day. To put that in context, that's more than most teams scored in three days of this matchup. It was the single greatest daily performance of the entire Week 2 period. The engine of that explosion was Paul Skenes (38.7 pts), who looked absolutely unhittable, and Kris Bubic (28.3 pts) in a stunning performance. Kevin McGonigle (32.5 pts) and Drake Baldwin (21.0 pts) rounded out a complete team effort.

The Dynasty, to their credit, didn't quit. Yamamoto (27.6 pts) continued to be a reliable presence. But The Dynasty falls to 0-2 — their weekly totals (485.8 in Week 1, 244.2 in Week 2) are wildly inconsistent, and that inconsistency is what's killing them. Week 3 is a must-win in every psychological and standings sense. Another loss and the season starts to feel unrecoverable.

📊 Analysis
The Dynasty had the lead and let it slip away on the back of a single catastrophic opponent day. You can't predict a 111-point day — but they've now lost two straight after looking competitive in both, which is a worrying trend that demands self-examination heading into Week 3.
vs
West Division Dominant
VOP's 124-Point Sunday Is the Best Team Day of Week 2 as Ohtani Delivers Again
VOP / Playeros
385.3 – 266.1

After last week's close win over SAJOMA, Ernie Perez's VILLA OLGA POSSEE came into Week 2 as a confident squad — and they backed it up with one of the better all-around weeks in the league. With 385.3 points, VOP was the highest scorer in the entire league this week, and their Sunday performance (124.1 points on April 12) was nothing short of spectacular — the single best team day of the entire matchup period.

Shohei Ohtani was at the center of it all, as he almost always is. His combined batting/pitching contribution made him the engine of the VOP machine once again. Jacob deGrom turned back the clock with an outstanding 42.1-point outing — a genuinely elite performance from the oft-injured ace that should have fantasy managers everywhere paying attention. Jordan Walker (42.0 pts) and Matt Olson (33.0 pts) gave the lineup legitimate middle-of-the-order punch.

For Jeffrey Espinal's LOS PLAYEROS, this was a difficult week to stomach. They actually showed improvement — posting a solid 85.1 points on Saturday, April 11. Michael Wacha (34.8 pts) was their pitching MVP, and Ian Happ (39.0 pts) was their best bat. But they still went to sleep on April 9 (just 4.1 points) and gave up on Sunday, scoring only 30.5 while VOP put up 124.1. That's not a competitive showing in a matchup that was still technically within reach entering the final day.

🚨 Choke Factor
LOS PLAYEROS had a pulse through Saturday but gave up completely on Sunday. Losing by nearly 120 points on the final day of a matchup you still technically had a chance in is the definition of a complete collapse. The worst Sunday performance in the league this week.
vs
Most Dramatic Matchup
Los Lobos Survive a Mid-Week Rebel Surge With a Massive Sunday Close
Lobos / Rebels
318.4 – 288.8

This was the closest matchup of the week and the one that came down to the wire most convincingly. Renzo Lobaton's Los Lobos entered Sunday holding a modest lead — but the Rebels had momentum. After posting 45.1, 50.2, and 68.6 in the early portion of the week and briefly taking the overall lead midweek, the Rebels looked like they might be on the verge of their first win of the season.

Then Sunday happened. Los Lobos exploded for 97.4 points on April 12 — their best day of the week and the second-highest single-team day of the entire matchup period. Yandy Diaz (32.0 pts) was steady all week and showed why he's a legitimate anchor bat. Zach Neto (27.0 pts), Manny Machado (25.5 pts), and a dominant Tarik Skubal (29.8 pts) combined to put this one to bed in dramatic fashion.

The . Rebels had their most complete week of the young season. James Wood was spectacular at 58.0 fantasy points — easily the Rebels' best individual performance across two weeks — and Aaron Judge finally started to look like himself, contributing 29.5 points after a quiet Week 1. But three consecutive quiet days in the middle of the week — a combined 79.3 points from April 9-11 — created a gap their strong Sunday (45.6 pts) simply couldn't close. A steady 35-40 points per day in that stretch and they win this one.

🚨 Choke Factor
The Rebels had multiple days where they led or kept it close, but three consecutive quiet days in the middle of the week cost them the match. They went cold at exactly the wrong time — and a roster with James Wood and Aaron Judge has no excuse for 79.3 combined points across three days.
⚡ The Elite — 2-0, Proving It Every Week
1
2–0
862.1 PF
▲ 1
2
2–0
929.7 PF
▲ 2
3
2–0
810.3 PF
▲ 6
4
2–0
828.5 PF
▼ 1
👀 The Competitive Middle — 1-1
5
1–1
841.5 PF
▼ 4
6
1–1
760.2 PF
▲ 1
7
1–1
714.3 PF
▲ 1
8
1–1
826.6 PF
▼ 5
🚨 Pivot or Perish — 0-2
9
0–2
730.0 PF
▼ 3
10
0–2
680.4 PF
● Same
11
0–2
643.8 PF
● Same
12
0–2
562.1 PF
▼ Crisis
"Sunday April 12 proved once and for all that in this league, it's never over until the final out — and the teams that build rosters capable of finishing strong will be the ones hoisting hardware in the fall."
League of Champions · Week 3 Begins · See you on the diamond.
How It Works
Odds blend preseason projections with live performance data. Formula: Performance = Win Rate × 60% + Normalized Scoring × 40%. As the season progresses, live performance weight increases automatically.
Season Progress
13.6%
Week 3 of 22
← 86.4% Preseason Weight13.6% Live Performance →
Big Movers After Week 3
Biggest Risers
REM GEM
▲7
Villa Olga Possee
▲5
NY dRuNkies
▲7
Los Lobos
▲1
Biggest Fallers
Los Playeros
▼7
T-Ball Titans
▼7
The Dynasty
▼4
Father & Son
▼3
Full Odds Board
#TeamRecordPts/Wk% WinOdds1-in-Xvs Pre
1
Villa Olga Possee
Was #6 preseason
3–0433.69.5%+9561/11▲5
2
NY dRuNkies
Was #10 preseason
3–0413.69.2%+9841/11▲8
3
REM GEM
Was #9 preseason
3–0400.89.0%+10071/11▲6
4
Los Lobos
Was #5 preseason
3–0369.78.8%+10361/11▲1
5
SAJOMA
Was #7 preseason
2–1368.28.5%+10811/12▲2
6
. Rebels
Was #2 preseason
1–2350.28.4%+10901/12▼4
7
Father & Son
Was #4 preseason
1–2389.58.3%+11051/12▼3
8
No Common Sense
Was #11 preseason
1–2339.97.9%+11631/13▲3
9
TakeOver .
Was #12 preseason
1–2342.07.7%+11951/13▲3
10
The Dynasty
Was #8 preseason
0–3322.87.5%+12301/13▼2
11
T-Ball Titans
Was #1 preseason
0–3313.57.4%+12531/14▼10
12
Los Playeros
Was #3 preseason
0–3305.77.2%+12901/14▼9
Formula: Blended probability = Preseason × 0.864 + Performance × 0.136 after Week 3 of 22. Performance score = Win Rate × 60% + Normalized Points Per Week × 40%. All 12 probabilities normalized to sum to 100%. Odds update after every weekly matchup.